For a year, the refrain from the Trump camp has been a defiant mix of "Lock her up," "but the emails" and "fake news."
Now it turns out that what was fake wasn't the news but the Trump denials, that the truly scandalous emails were in the Trumps' own servers and that the person who may have committed a felony is actually Donald J. Trump Jr.
The writer Stephen King put it this way: "The news is real. The president is fake."
The question is where this goes next. I suggest two directions.
First, look beyond Donald Trump Jr. to Jared Kushner and to President Trump himself.
Second, explore how Trump Jr.'s attempt at collusion with Russians may relate to the bizarre effort by Kushner to set up a secret communication channel with the Kremlin.
To back up, just in case you've been stuck on a desert island, here's what you missed this week. Donald J. Trump Jr. received an email in June 2016, eight days after his father clinched the Republican nomination for president, that said the Kremlin had "offered to provide the Trump campaign with some official documents and information that would incriminate Hillary. … This is obviously very high level and sensitive information but is part of Russia and its government's support for Mr. Trump."
In 1960, the Kremlin made a similar offer to support the candidacy of John F. Kennedy against Richard Nixon, but the Kennedy campaign rebuffed it. Likewise, when the Al Gore campaign in 2000 received confidential materials relating to the George W. Bush campaign, it called the F.B.I.
Trump Jr. didn't call the F.B.I.; instead, he responded, "I love it." He apparently arranged a phone call to discuss the material (we don't know that the call happened or, if it did, its content), and then set up a meeting for him, Kushner and campaign chairman Paul Manafort to meet with a person described in the emails as a "Russian government attorney."
In other words, informed of a secret Kremlin effort to use highly sensitive information about a former secretary of state (presumably obtained by espionage, for how else?) to manipulate an American election, Trump Jr. signaled, "We're in!"
"This was an attempt at collusion," noted Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon. It may or may not have amounted to a felony, for soliciting a forewigner to contribute something "of value" in connection with an American election. The Predict-It betting website now lists gambling odds about whether Trump Jr. will be indicted.
The Trumps' defense is that the meeting was a "nothingburger" with no follow-up. That would be more compelling if the Trumps hadn't previously denied at least 20 times that such a meeting had ever taken place. Their credibility is in tatters.
Crucially, this is bigger than Donald Trump Jr.
The Trumps insist that the president himself was unaware of the Russian offer. Yet the day after Trump Jr. received the first email and presumably had his phone conversation about the supposedly incriminating material, his father promised to give "a major speech" in which "we're going to be discussing all of the things that have taken place with the Clintons. I think you're going to find it very informative and very, very interesting."
That speech targeting Hillary Clinton didn't take place. But on June 15, the first leak of stolen Democratic materials did.
Then there's Kushner. Trump Jr. forwarded the emails to Kushner, whose response was to attend the meeting, although he apparently left within 10 minutes. Kushner later neglected to report the meeting and others with Russians on his SF-86 forms to receive national security clearance (intentional omission is a felony).
The meeting gave the Kremlin potential blackmail material against the Trumps, and thus possibly leverage over them.
In addition, McClatchy reports that investigators in Congress and the Justice Department are exploring whether the Trump campaign digital operation — supervised by Kushner — helped guide Russia's remarkably sophisticated efforts to use internet bots to target voters with fake news attacking Hillary Clinton.
Then there was the extraordinary initiative by Kushner in the transition period to set up the secret communications channel. There's no indication that the channel was actually established, and the assumption has been that the communications would have required visits to Russian consulates — which would be bizarre.
But Barton Gellman, a careful national security writer, has another theory. He notes that James Comey, the ousted F.B.I. director, in testimony to Congress referred to the risk that this channel could "capture all of your conversations." Gellman suggests that this may mean that Kushner sought mobile Russian scrambling equipment to take to Trump Tower.
Look, this is a murky, complicated issue. But this much we know: Kushner attended a secret meeting whose stated purpose was to advance a Kremlin effort to interfere in the U.S. election, he then failed to report it, and finally he sought a secret channel to communicate with the Kremlin.
One next step is clear: Take away Jared Kushner's security clearance immediately.
New York Times, July 13, 2017
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July 13, 2017
Addendum. Kushner decided to update his filings today, to indicate more than 100 previously undisclosed contacts with foreign governments. Oh my. http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/341844-kushner-updated-disclosure-to-add-more-than-100-foreign-contacts
